Signal · 13 November 2026

BNB · downside breakout

оборот 1,0× от среднего — меньше 1,2, пробой не подтверждён

waitBybit · crypto

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BNBUSDT

Technical analysis

Nov 13 close: $629.79 (-4.1% on the day). That is 3.0% below the low of the previous 20 days ($649.32). Turnover is near average (1.0×): volume does not confirm the move.

Over the month: -13.7%. The price is below the 20-day average ($700.87) and below the 50-day average ($731.96).

The price is 4.6 average daily ranges (ATR) below the 50-day average, RSI(14) 27.

The breakout is in the direction of the downtrend: selling pressure persists.

Bitcoin on the day: -4.4%. The coin moves with the market: much of the move is market-wide.

The same signal is on OKX.

Fundamental analysis

No significant news or events on this instrument in our sources.

What to watch next

Confirmation: two consecutive closes below $649.32. Invalidation: a close above $649.32. Nearest reference levels: 20-day average $700.87 and 20-day high $762.18.

Recommendation

Wait: turnover is 1.0× average, below 1.2, so the breakout is unconfirmed. Plan if confirmed: sell via the Bybit perpetual future BNBUSDT at the levels below. Low confidence.

Entry and exit

Entry: only after two consecutive closes below $649.32, then a limit order in the $638.25–$649.32 zone (calculated from $643.79) for 3 days. Stop: $665.92 (1.0 ATR from entry). Target 1: $599.53 (risk/reward 1:2): close half and move the stop to breakeven. Target 2: $577.40 (1:3). If target 1 is hit before entry, skip the trade. Time exit: 10 days after entry (around Nov 24).

Example with money

Capital $1.000 (≈ 82.400 ₽), risk per signal 0.66% ($6.60) — group limit for crypto and crypto-company stocks is 2% across 3 signals. Sell 0.28 BNB (step 0.01) at $643.79 with an unleveraged perpetual future: position $180.26. After rounding, the risk to the stop including fees is $6.58 (0.66%).

	price	gross	after fees	after tax
Target 1 (½)	599.53	+6.20	+6.01	+5.23
Targets 1 and 2	577.40	+15.49	+15.13	+13.16
Цель 1 + б/у	643.79	+6.20	+5.82	+5.07
Stop	665.92	-6.20	-6.58	-6.58

Algorithm

TF=1d; SYMBOL=BYBIT:BNBUSDT; MARKET=linear; SIDE=short
SIGNAL: close < lowest(low,20)[1]=649.32
FILTER: close < sma(close,50)=731.96; vol=0.98*sma(vol,20) (min 1.2); (close-sma50)/ATR=-4.62; RSI(14)=27.1 -> MODE=confirm
ENTRY: after 2 closes < 649.32 -> limit 638.25..649.32 (calc 643.79), valid 3 bars
STOP: 665.92 (entry + 1*ATR: level + 0.5*ATR = 660.39 is closer than 1 ATR; ATR(14)=22.13)
TP1: 599.53 (50%, R/R 1:2); TP2: 577.4 (50%, R/R 1:3)
MOVE_STOP_TO_ENTRY: after TP1
EXIT_TIME: 10 bars after entry (~2026-11-24)
CANCEL: low <= 599.53 before entry OR close > 649.32 before entry
SIZE: qty = 0.66% equity / (|entry - stop| + fees), floor to qty step 0.01; notional <= 100% equity
RISK: 0.66% equity per signal (group crypto: 3 signals, max 2% total)

Recommendation

Ждать: оборот 1,0× от среднего — меньше 1,2, пробой не подтверждён.

Technical analysis

Close: 629.79
Level: 649.32
ATR(14): 22.13
RSI(14): 27.1
Turnover vs average: 0.98
Distance from SMA50, ATR: -4.62
Signal: breakout_down
Mode: confirm

Entry and exit

Direction: wait
Market: linear
Entry: только после 2 закрытий подряд ниже 649,32 $ — затем лимит в зоне 638,25–649,32 $ (расчёт от 643,79 $) на 3 дня
Entry zone: 638.25 – 649.32
Stop: 665.92
Target 1: 599.53 (1 : 2)
Target 2: 577.4 (1 : 3)
Time exit: 2026-11-24
Confidence: low
Status: open

Algorithm as JSON

{
  "tf": "1d",
  "symbol": "BYBIT:BNBUSDT",
  "market": "linear",
  "side": "short",
  "signal": "close < lowest(low,20)[1]=649.32",
  "mode": "confirm",
  "filter": {
    "sma50": 731.96,
    "vol_ratio": 0.98,
    "min_vol": 1.2,
    "z50": -4.62,
    "rsi14": 27.1
  },
  "entry": {
    "trigger": "2 closes < 649.32",
    "type": "limit",
    "low": 638.25,
    "high": 649.32,
    "price": 643.79,
    "from": null,
    "valid_until": null,
    "valid_bars": 3,
    "session": null
  },
  "stop": 665.92,
  "stop_rule": "entry + 1*ATR: level + 0.5*ATR = 660.39 is closer than 1 ATR",
  "atr14": 22.13,
  "tp": [
    {
      "price": 599.53,
      "share": 0.5,
      "rr": 2
    },
    {
      "price": 577.4,
      "share": 0.5,
      "rr": 3
    }
  ],
  "trail": {
    "move_stop_to_entry_after": "tp1"
  },
  "time_exit": {
    "bars": 10,
    "from": "entry",
    "approx": "2026-11-24"
  },
  "cancel": [
    "low <= 599.53 before entry",
    "close > 649.32 before entry"
  ],
  "size": {
    "model": "risk",
    "risk_pct": 0.66,
    "qty_step": 0.01,
    "ct_val": null,
    "max_notional_pct": 100,
    "group": "crypto",
    "group_signals": 3,
    "group_max_pct": 2
  },
  "risk_pct": 0.66
}

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Связанное

Signals of the day Signals for 13 November 2026