Signal · 13 November 2026

Coinbase (COIN) · downside breakout

цена на 4,8 ATR ниже средней за 50 дней, RSI 31 — сильная перепроданность

waitBybit · stocks

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COINUSDT

Site-only signal: over the per-factor limit, not posted to the channel.

Technical analysis

Nov 13 close: $126.38 (-3.9% on the day). That is 2.0% below the low of the previous 20 days ($128.97). Turnover is slightly above average (1.3×).

Over the month: -26.4%. The price is below the 20-day average ($143.36) and below the 50-day average ($165.85).

The price is 4.8 average daily ranges (ATR) below the 50-day average, RSI(14) 31: the market is oversold, and a rebound often follows.

The breakout is in the direction of the downtrend: selling pressure persists.

Fundamental analysis

Company news — Cointelegraph, Nov 13: «Arthur Hayes ‘flattered’ as Coinbase backs US stock perps».

Company news — Cointelegraph, Nov 13: «US regulators move ahead on crypto trust charters as Senate scrutiny grows».

What to watch next

Confirmation: two consecutive closes below $128.97. Invalidation: a close above $128.97. Nearest reference levels: 20-day average $143.36 and 20-day high $165.57.

Recommendation

Wait for a rebound to the level: the price is 4.8 ATR below the 50-day average, RSI 31: deeply oversold; it is too late to sell into the move. Plan: sell via the Bybit perpetual future COINUSDT, low confidence.

Entry and exit

Entry: place the order now: limit in the $126.92–$128.97 zone (calculated from $127.94) until Nov 18. Stop: $136.13 (1.0 ATR from entry). Target 1: $111.56 (risk/reward 1:2): close half and move the stop to breakeven. Target 2: $103.37 (1:3). If target 1 is hit before entry, skip the trade. Time exit: 10 days after entry (around Nov 24).

Example with money

Capital $1.000 (≈ 82.400 ₽), risk per signal 0.66% ($6.60). Sell 0.77 COIN (step 0.01) at $127.94 with an unleveraged perpetual future: position $98.51. After rounding, the risk to the stop including fees is $6.52 (0.65%).

	price	gross	after fees	after tax
Target 1 (½)	111.56	+6.22	+6.13	+5.33
Targets 1 and 2	103.37	+15.81	+15.62	+13.59
Цель 1 + б/у	127.94	+6.22	+6.02	+5.24
Stop	136.13	-6.31	-6.52	-6.52

Algorithm

TF=1d; SYMBOL=BYBIT:COINUSDT; MARKET=linear; SIDE=short
SIGNAL: close < lowest(low,20)[1]=128.97
FILTER: close < sma(close,50)=165.85; vol=1.25*sma(vol,20) (min 1.2); (close-sma50)/ATR=-4.82; RSI(14)=31 -> MODE=rebound
ENTRY: place now: limit 126.92..128.97 (calc 127.94), valid until 2026-11-18 (5 bars)
STOP: 136.13 (entry + 1*ATR: level + 0.5*ATR = 133.07 is closer than 1 ATR; ATR(14)=8.19)
TP1: 111.56 (50%, R/R 1:2); TP2: 103.37 (50%, R/R 1:3)
MOVE_STOP_TO_ENTRY: after TP1
EXIT_TIME: 10 bars after entry (~2026-11-24)
CANCEL: low <= 111.56 before entry OR close > 128.97 before entry
SIZE: qty = 0.66% equity / (|entry - stop| + fees), floor to qty step 0.01; notional <= 100% equity
RISK: 0.66% equity per signal (group crypto: 0 signal, max 2% total)

Recommendation

Ждать: цена на 4,8 ATR ниже средней за 50 дней, RSI 31 — сильная перепроданность.

Technical analysis

Close: 126.38
Level: 128.97
ATR(14): 8.19
RSI(14): 31
Turnover vs average: 1.25
Distance from SMA50, ATR: -4.82
Signal: breakout_down
Mode: rebound

Entry and exit

Direction: wait
Market: linear
Entry: заявку выставить сейчас: лимит в зоне 126,92–128,97 $ (расчёт от 127,94 $) до 18.11
Entry zone: 126.92 – 128.97
Stop: 136.13
Target 1: 111.56 (1 : 2)
Target 2: 103.37 (1 : 3)
Time exit: 2026-11-24
Confidence: low
Status: open

Algorithm as JSON

{
  "tf": "1d",
  "symbol": "BYBIT:COINUSDT",
  "market": "linear",
  "side": "short",
  "signal": "close < lowest(low,20)[1]=128.97",
  "mode": "rebound",
  "filter": {
    "sma50": 165.85,
    "vol_ratio": 1.25,
    "min_vol": 1.2,
    "z50": -4.82,
    "rsi14": 31
  },
  "entry": {
    "trigger": "now",
    "type": "limit",
    "low": 126.92,
    "high": 128.97,
    "price": 127.94,
    "from": null,
    "valid_until": "2026-11-18",
    "valid_bars": 5,
    "session": null
  },
  "stop": 136.13,
  "stop_rule": "entry + 1*ATR: level + 0.5*ATR = 133.07 is closer than 1 ATR",
  "atr14": 8.19,
  "tp": [
    {
      "price": 111.56,
      "share": 0.5,
      "rr": 2
    },
    {
      "price": 103.37,
      "share": 0.5,
      "rr": 3
    }
  ],
  "trail": {
    "move_stop_to_entry_after": "tp1"
  },
  "time_exit": {
    "bars": 10,
    "from": "entry",
    "approx": "2026-11-24"
  },
  "cancel": [
    "low <= 111.56 before entry",
    "close > 128.97 before entry"
  ],
  "size": {
    "model": "risk",
    "risk_pct": 0.66,
    "qty_step": 0.01,
    "ct_val": null,
    "max_notional_pct": 100,
    "group": "crypto",
    "group_signals": 0,
    "group_max_pct": 2
  },
  "risk_pct": 0.66
}

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