Signal · 13 November 2026

Circle (CRCL) · downside breakout

оборот 0,8× от среднего — меньше 1,2, пробой не подтверждён

waitBybit · stocks

Parts of this page are in Russian: the English text is not available yet.

CRCLUSDT

Site-only signal: over the per-factor limit, not posted to the channel.

Technical analysis

Nov 13 close: $61.61 (-4.3% on the day). That is 2.1% below the low of the previous 20 days ($62.93). Turnover is below average (0.8×): volume does not confirm the move.

Over the month: -20.5%. The price is below the 20-day average ($72.02) and below the 50-day average ($79.33).

The price is 4.2 average daily ranges (ATR) below the 50-day average, RSI(14) 29.

The breakout is in the direction of the downtrend: selling pressure persists.

The same signal is on OKX.

Fundamental analysis

No significant news or events on this instrument in our sources.

What to watch next

Confirmation: two consecutive closes below $62.93. Invalidation: a close above $62.93. Nearest reference levels: 20-day average $72.02 and 20-day high $86.01.

Recommendation

Wait: turnover is 0.8× average, below 1.2, so the breakout is unconfirmed. Plan if confirmed: sell via the Bybit perpetual future CRCLUSDT at the levels below. Low confidence.

Entry and exit

Entry: only after two consecutive closes below $62.93, then a limit order in the $60.80–$62.93 zone (calculated from $61.86) for 3 days. Stop: $66.12 (1.0 ATR from entry). Target 1: $53.34 (risk/reward 1:2): close half and move the stop to breakeven. Target 2: $49.08 (1:3). If target 1 is hit before entry, skip the trade. Time exit: 10 days after entry (around Nov 24).

Example with money

Capital $1.000 (≈ 82.400 ₽), risk per signal 0.66% ($6.60). Sell 1.50 CRCL (step 0.01) at $61.86 with an unleveraged perpetual future: position $92.79. After rounding, the risk to the stop including fees is $6.59 (0.66%).

	price	gross	after fees	after tax
Target 1 (½)	53.34	+6.39	+6.30	+5.48
Targets 1 and 2	49.08	+15.97	+15.80	+13.74
Цель 1 + б/у	61.86	+6.39	+6.20	+5.40
Stop	66.12	-6.39	-6.59	-6.59

Algorithm

TF=1d; SYMBOL=BYBIT:CRCLUSDT; MARKET=linear; SIDE=short
SIGNAL: close < lowest(low,20)[1]=62.93
FILTER: close < sma(close,50)=79.33; vol=0.78*sma(vol,20) (min 1.2); (close-sma50)/ATR=-4.16; RSI(14)=29.1 -> MODE=confirm
ENTRY: after 2 closes < 62.93 -> limit 60.8..62.93 (calc 61.86), valid 3 bars
STOP: 66.12 (entry + 1*ATR: level + 0.5*ATR = 65.06 is closer than 1 ATR; ATR(14)=4.26)
TP1: 53.34 (50%, R/R 1:2); TP2: 49.08 (50%, R/R 1:3)
MOVE_STOP_TO_ENTRY: after TP1
EXIT_TIME: 10 bars after entry (~2026-11-24)
CANCEL: low <= 53.34 before entry OR close > 62.93 before entry
SIZE: qty = 0.66% equity / (|entry - stop| + fees), floor to qty step 0.01; notional <= 100% equity
RISK: 0.66% equity per signal (group crypto: 0 signal, max 2% total)

Recommendation

Ждать: оборот 0,8× от среднего — меньше 1,2, пробой не подтверждён.

Technical analysis

Close: 61.61
Level: 62.93
ATR(14): 4.26
RSI(14): 29.1
Turnover vs average: 0.78
Distance from SMA50, ATR: -4.16
Signal: breakout_down
Mode: confirm

Entry and exit

Direction: wait
Market: linear
Entry: только после 2 закрытий подряд ниже 62,93 $ — затем лимит в зоне 60,80–62,93 $ (расчёт от 61,86 $) на 3 дня
Entry zone: 60.8 – 62.93
Stop: 66.12
Target 1: 53.34 (1 : 2)
Target 2: 49.08 (1 : 3)
Time exit: 2026-11-24
Confidence: low
Status: open

Algorithm as JSON

{
  "tf": "1d",
  "symbol": "BYBIT:CRCLUSDT",
  "market": "linear",
  "side": "short",
  "signal": "close < lowest(low,20)[1]=62.93",
  "mode": "confirm",
  "filter": {
    "sma50": 79.33,
    "vol_ratio": 0.78,
    "min_vol": 1.2,
    "z50": -4.16,
    "rsi14": 29.1
  },
  "entry": {
    "trigger": "2 closes < 62.93",
    "type": "limit",
    "low": 60.8,
    "high": 62.93,
    "price": 61.86,
    "from": null,
    "valid_until": null,
    "valid_bars": 3,
    "session": null
  },
  "stop": 66.12,
  "stop_rule": "entry + 1*ATR: level + 0.5*ATR = 65.06 is closer than 1 ATR",
  "atr14": 4.26,
  "tp": [
    {
      "price": 53.34,
      "share": 0.5,
      "rr": 2
    },
    {
      "price": 49.08,
      "share": 0.5,
      "rr": 3
    }
  ],
  "trail": {
    "move_stop_to_entry_after": "tp1"
  },
  "time_exit": {
    "bars": 10,
    "from": "entry",
    "approx": "2026-11-24"
  },
  "cancel": [
    "low <= 53.34 before entry",
    "close > 62.93 before entry"
  ],
  "size": {
    "model": "risk",
    "risk_pct": 0.66,
    "qty_step": 0.01,
    "ct_val": null,
    "max_notional_pct": 100,
    "group": "crypto",
    "group_signals": 0,
    "group_max_pct": 2
  },
  "risk_pct": 0.66
}

В каталоге

Связанное

Signals of the day Signals for 13 November 2026