Signal · 13 November 2026

Ether (ETH) · downside breakout

цена на 4,8 ATR ниже средней за 50 дней, RSI 24 — сильная перепроданность

waitBybit · crypto

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ETHUSDT

Site-only signal: over the per-factor limit, not posted to the channel.

Technical analysis

Nov 13 close: $1.929.00 (-4.5% on the day). That is 2.7% below the low of the previous 20 days ($1.982.36). Turnover is 1.6 times the 20-day average: the move is backed by trading.

Over the month: -20.3%. The price is below the 20-day average ($2.218.11) and below the 50-day average ($2.414.92).

The price is 4.8 average daily ranges (ATR) below the 50-day average, RSI(14) 24: the market is oversold, and a rebound often follows.

The breakout is in the direction of the downtrend: selling pressure persists.

Bitcoin on the day: -4.4%. The coin moves with the market: much of the move is market-wide.

The same signal is on OKX.

Fundamental analysis

News on ether — CoinDesk, Nov 12: «Ethereum researchers drop faster blocks to race toward quantum defenses in 2027».

News on ether — The Block, Nov 13: «Ethereum and Layer 1s Explained».

What to watch next

Confirmation: two consecutive closes below $1.982.36. Invalidation: a close above $1.982.36. Nearest reference levels: 20-day average $2.218.11 and 20-day high $2.451.35.

Recommendation

Wait for a rebound to the level: the price is 4.8 ATR below the 50-day average, RSI 24: deeply oversold; it is too late to sell into the move. Plan: sell via the Bybit perpetual future ETHUSDT, low confidence.

Entry and exit

Entry: place the order now: limit in the $1.956.94–$1.982.36 zone (calculated from $1.969.65) until Nov 18. Stop: $2.071.34 (1.0 ATR from entry). Target 1: $1.766.27 (risk/reward 1:2): close half and move the stop to breakeven. Target 2: $1.664.58 (1:3). If target 1 is hit before entry, skip the trade. Time exit: 10 days after entry (around Nov 24).

Example with money

Capital $1.000 (≈ 82.400 ₽), risk per signal 0.66% ($6.60). Sell 0.06 ETH (step 0.01) at $1.969.65 with an unleveraged perpetual future: position $118.18. After rounding, the risk to the stop including fees is $6.36 (0.64%).

	price	gross	after fees	after tax
Target 1 (½)	1,766.27	+6.10	+5.98	+5.21
Targets 1 and 2	1,664.58	+15.25	+15.02	+13.07
Цель 1 + б/у	1,969.65	+6.10	+5.86	+5.10
Stop	2,071.34	-6.10	-6.36	-6.36

Algorithm

TF=1d; SYMBOL=BYBIT:ETHUSDT; MARKET=linear; SIDE=short
SIGNAL: close < lowest(low,20)[1]=1982.36
FILTER: close < sma(close,50)=2414.92; vol=1.56*sma(vol,20) (min 1.2); (close-sma50)/ATR=-4.78; RSI(14)=24.3 -> MODE=rebound
ENTRY: place now: limit 1956.94..1982.36 (calc 1969.65), valid until 2026-11-18 (5 bars)
STOP: 2071.34 (entry + 1*ATR: level + 0.5*ATR = 2033.21 is closer than 1 ATR; ATR(14)=101.69)
TP1: 1766.27 (50%, R/R 1:2); TP2: 1664.58 (50%, R/R 1:3)
MOVE_STOP_TO_ENTRY: after TP1
EXIT_TIME: 10 bars after entry (~2026-11-24)
CANCEL: low <= 1766.27 before entry OR close > 1982.36 before entry
SIZE: qty = 0.66% equity / (|entry - stop| + fees), floor to qty step 0.01; notional <= 100% equity
RISK: 0.66% equity per signal (group crypto: 0 signal, max 2% total)

Recommendation

Ждать: цена на 4,8 ATR ниже средней за 50 дней, RSI 24 — сильная перепроданность.

Technical analysis

Close: 1,929
Level: 1,982
ATR(14): 101.69
RSI(14): 24.3
Turnover vs average: 1.56
Distance from SMA50, ATR: -4.78
Signal: breakout_down
Mode: rebound

Entry and exit

Direction: wait
Market: linear
Entry: заявку выставить сейчас: лимит в зоне 1 956,94–1 982,36 $ (расчёт от 1 969,65 $) до 18.11
Entry zone: 1,957 – 1,982
Stop: 2,071
Target 1: 1,766 (1 : 2)
Target 2: 1,665 (1 : 3)
Time exit: 2026-11-24
Confidence: low
Status: open

Algorithm as JSON

{
  "tf": "1d",
  "symbol": "BYBIT:ETHUSDT",
  "market": "linear",
  "side": "short",
  "signal": "close < lowest(low,20)[1]=1982.36",
  "mode": "rebound",
  "filter": {
    "sma50": 2414.92,
    "vol_ratio": 1.56,
    "min_vol": 1.2,
    "z50": -4.78,
    "rsi14": 24.3
  },
  "entry": {
    "trigger": "now",
    "type": "limit",
    "low": 1956.94,
    "high": 1982.36,
    "price": 1969.65,
    "from": null,
    "valid_until": "2026-11-18",
    "valid_bars": 5,
    "session": null
  },
  "stop": 2071.34,
  "stop_rule": "entry + 1*ATR: level + 0.5*ATR = 2033.21 is closer than 1 ATR",
  "atr14": 101.69,
  "tp": [
    {
      "price": 1766.27,
      "share": 0.5,
      "rr": 2
    },
    {
      "price": 1664.58,
      "share": 0.5,
      "rr": 3
    }
  ],
  "trail": {
    "move_stop_to_entry_after": "tp1"
  },
  "time_exit": {
    "bars": 10,
    "from": "entry",
    "approx": "2026-11-24"
  },
  "cancel": [
    "low <= 1766.27 before entry",
    "close > 1982.36 before entry"
  ],
  "size": {
    "model": "risk",
    "risk_pct": 0.66,
    "qty_step": 0.01,
    "ct_val": null,
    "max_notional_pct": 100,
    "group": "crypto",
    "group_signals": 0,
    "group_max_pct": 2
  },
  "risk_pct": 0.66
}

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Связанное

Signals of the day Signals for 13 November 2026