Signal · 13 November 2026

Solana (SOL) · downside breakout

цена на 5,9 ATR ниже средней за 50 дней, RSI 19 — сильная перепроданность

waitBybit · crypto

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SOLUSDT

Site-only signal: over the per-factor limit, not posted to the channel.

Technical analysis

Nov 13 close: $78.15 (-4.3% on the day). That is 2.8% below the low of the previous 20 days ($80.37). Turnover is 1.6 times the 20-day average: the move is backed by trading.

Over the month: -25.0%. The price is below the 20-day average ($91.83) and below the 50-day average ($103.89).

The price is 5.9 average daily ranges (ATR) below the 50-day average, RSI(14) 19: the market is oversold, and a rebound often follows.

The breakout is in the direction of the downtrend: selling pressure persists.

Bitcoin on the day: -4.4%. The coin moves with the market: much of the move is market-wide.

The same signal is on OKX.

Fundamental analysis

News on Solana — Cointelegraph, Nov 12: «DTCC Plans Solana Expansion as Wallet Rules Limit Access».

News on Solana — CoinDesk, Nov 12: «DTCC adds Solana to Wall Street tokenization plans, targeting 2027 rollout».

What to watch next

Confirmation: two consecutive closes below $80.37. Invalidation: a close above $80.37. Nearest reference levels: 20-day average $91.83 and 20-day high $103.82.

Recommendation

Wait for a rebound to the level: the price is 5.9 ATR below the 50-day average, RSI 19: deeply oversold; it is too late to sell into the move. Plan: sell via the Bybit perpetual future SOLUSDT, low confidence.

Entry and exit

Entry: place the order now: limit in the $79.29–$80.37 zone (calculated from $79.83) until Nov 18. Stop: $84.16 (1.0 ATR from entry). Target 1: $71.17 (risk/reward 1:2): close half and move the stop to breakeven. Target 2: $66.84 (1:3). If target 1 is hit before entry, skip the trade. Time exit: 10 days after entry (around Nov 24).

Example with money

Capital $1.000 (≈ 82.400 ₽), risk per signal 0.66% ($6.60). Sell 1.4 SOL (step 0.1) at $79.83 with an unleveraged perpetual future: position $111.76. After rounding, the risk to the stop including fees is $6.30 (0.63%).

	price	gross	after fees	after tax
Target 1 (½)	71.17	+6.06	+5.95	+5.18
Targets 1 and 2	66.84	+15.15	+14.94	+12.99
Цель 1 + б/у	79.83	+6.06	+5.83	+5.08
Stop	84.16	-6.06	-6.30	-6.30

Algorithm

TF=1d; SYMBOL=BYBIT:SOLUSDT; MARKET=linear; SIDE=short
SIGNAL: close < lowest(low,20)[1]=80.37
FILTER: close < sma(close,50)=103.89; vol=1.6*sma(vol,20) (min 1.2); (close-sma50)/ATR=-5.94; RSI(14)=19.4 -> MODE=rebound
ENTRY: place now: limit 79.29..80.37 (calc 79.83), valid until 2026-11-18 (5 bars)
STOP: 84.16 (entry + 1*ATR: level + 0.5*ATR = 82.54 is closer than 1 ATR; ATR(14)=4.33)
TP1: 71.17 (50%, R/R 1:2); TP2: 66.84 (50%, R/R 1:3)
MOVE_STOP_TO_ENTRY: after TP1
EXIT_TIME: 10 bars after entry (~2026-11-24)
CANCEL: low <= 71.17 before entry OR close > 80.37 before entry
SIZE: qty = 0.66% equity / (|entry - stop| + fees), floor to qty step 0.1; notional <= 100% equity
RISK: 0.66% equity per signal (group crypto: 0 signal, max 2% total)

Recommendation

Ждать: цена на 5,9 ATR ниже средней за 50 дней, RSI 19 — сильная перепроданность.

Technical analysis

Close: 78.15
Level: 80.37
ATR(14): 4.33
RSI(14): 19.4
Turnover vs average: 1.6
Distance from SMA50, ATR: -5.94
Signal: breakout_down
Mode: rebound

Entry and exit

Direction: wait
Market: linear
Entry: заявку выставить сейчас: лимит в зоне 79,29–80,37 $ (расчёт от 79,83 $) до 18.11
Entry zone: 79.29 – 80.37
Stop: 84.16
Target 1: 71.17 (1 : 2)
Target 2: 66.84 (1 : 3)
Time exit: 2026-11-24
Confidence: low
Status: open

Algorithm as JSON

{
  "tf": "1d",
  "symbol": "BYBIT:SOLUSDT",
  "market": "linear",
  "side": "short",
  "signal": "close < lowest(low,20)[1]=80.37",
  "mode": "rebound",
  "filter": {
    "sma50": 103.89,
    "vol_ratio": 1.6,
    "min_vol": 1.2,
    "z50": -5.94,
    "rsi14": 19.4
  },
  "entry": {
    "trigger": "now",
    "type": "limit",
    "low": 79.29,
    "high": 80.37,
    "price": 79.83,
    "from": null,
    "valid_until": "2026-11-18",
    "valid_bars": 5,
    "session": null
  },
  "stop": 84.16,
  "stop_rule": "entry + 1*ATR: level + 0.5*ATR = 82.54 is closer than 1 ATR",
  "atr14": 4.33,
  "tp": [
    {
      "price": 71.17,
      "share": 0.5,
      "rr": 2
    },
    {
      "price": 66.84,
      "share": 0.5,
      "rr": 3
    }
  ],
  "trail": {
    "move_stop_to_entry_after": "tp1"
  },
  "time_exit": {
    "bars": 10,
    "from": "entry",
    "approx": "2026-11-24"
  },
  "cancel": [
    "low <= 71.17 before entry",
    "close > 80.37 before entry"
  ],
  "size": {
    "model": "risk",
    "risk_pct": 0.66,
    "qty_step": 0.1,
    "ct_val": null,
    "max_notional_pct": 100,
    "group": "crypto",
    "group_signals": 0,
    "group_max_pct": 2
  },
  "risk_pct": 0.66
}

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