Signal · 13 November 2026

LKOH · tight range

цена внутри узкого коридора, направление не определилось

waitMoscow Exchange · shares

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LKOH

Technical analysis

For 20 sessions the price has held in a 5.861.0 ₽ – 6.380.0 ₽ range, just 8.9% wide, one of the tightest on record. Nov 13 close: 6.045.5 ₽ (-0.1%).

Over the month: -0.3%. The price is below the 20-day average (6.108.0 ₽) and above the 50-day average (5.728.5 ₽).

The price is 2.2 average daily ranges (ATR) above the 50-day average, RSI(14) 55.

A long lull is usually followed by a strong move, but the direction is not known in advance.

On the day: MOEX Russia Index +0.2%, USD -1.2%.

Fundamental analysis

No significant news or events on this instrument in our sources.

What to watch next

The signal will be a close above 6.380.0 ₽ or below 5.861.0 ₽ on turnover of at least 1.2× average. Nearest reference levels: 50-day average 5.728.5 ₽.

Recommendation

Wait: the price is inside a tight range and the direction is undecided. Conditional plan: buy on the Moscow Exchange (LKOH) at the levels below. Low confidence.

Entry and exit

Entry: after a daily close above 6.380.0 ₽ on turnover of at least 1.2× average, then a limit order in the 6.380.0–6.450.5 ₽ zone (calculated from 6.415.5 ₽) for 3 sessions. Stop: 6.274.5 ₽ (1.0 ATR from entry). Target 1: 6.697.5 ₽ (risk/reward 1:2): close half and move the stop to breakeven. Target 2: 6.838.5 ₽ (1:3). If target 1 is hit before entry, skip the trade. Time exit: 10 sessions after entry (around Nov 30).

Example with money

Capital 100.000 ₽, risk per signal 0.66% (660 ₽) — group limit for Moscow Exchange shares is 2% across 3 signals. Buy 4 shares at 6.415.5 ₽: position 25.662 ₽. After rounding, the risk to the stop including fees is 615 ₽ (0.61%).

	price	gross	after fees	after tax
Target 1 (½)	6,697.5	+564	+538	+468
Targets 1 and 2	6,838.5	+1,410	+1,357	+1,181
Цель 1 + б/у	6,415.5	+564	+512	+446
Stop	6,274.5	-564	-615	-615

Algorithm

TF=1d; SYMBOL=MOEX:LKOH; MARKET=TQBR; SIDE=long
SIGNAL: highest(high,20)/lowest(low,20)-1=0.0886 <= p10 of history
FILTER: close > sma(close,50)=5728.5; vol=0.44*sma(vol,20) (min 1.2); (close-sma50)/ATR=2.25; RSI(14)=55 -> MODE=break
ENTRY: after close > 6380 AND vol >= 1.2*sma(vol,20) -> limit 6380..6450.5 (calc 6415.5) main session, valid 3 bars
STOP: 6274.5 (entry - 1*ATR: level - 0.5*ATR = 6309.5 is closer than 1 ATR; ATR(14)=141)
TP1: 6697.5 (50%, R/R 1:2); TP2: 6838.5 (50%, R/R 1:3)
MOVE_STOP_TO_ENTRY: after TP1
EXIT_TIME: 10 bars after entry (~2026-11-30)
CANCEL: high >= 6697.5 before entry OR close < 5861 before entry
SIZE: qty = 0.66% equity / (|entry - stop| + fees), floor to lot 1; notional <= 100% equity
RISK: 0.66% equity per signal (group moex shares: 3 signals, max 2% total)

Recommendation

Ждать: цена внутри узкого коридора, направление не определилось.

Technical analysis

Close: 6,046
Level: 6,380
ATR(14): 141
RSI(14): 55
Turnover vs average: 0.44
Distance from SMA50, ATR: 2.25
Signal: squeeze
Mode: break

Entry and exit

Direction: wait
Market: TQBR
Entry: после закрытия дня выше 6 380,0 ₽ на обороте от 1,2 среднего — затем лимит в зоне 6 380,0–6 450,5 ₽ (расчёт от 6 415,5 ₽) на 3 сессии
Entry zone: 6,380 – 6,450
Stop: 6,274
Target 1: 6,698 (1 : 2)
Target 2: 6,838 (1 : 3)
Time exit: 2026-11-30
Confidence: low
Status: open

Algorithm as JSON

{
  "tf": "1d",
  "symbol": "MOEX:LKOH",
  "market": "TQBR",
  "side": "long",
  "signal": "highest(high,20)/lowest(low,20)-1=0.0886 <= p10 of history",
  "mode": "break",
  "filter": {
    "sma50": 5728.5,
    "vol_ratio": 0.44,
    "min_vol": 1.2,
    "z50": 2.25,
    "rsi14": 55
  },
  "entry": {
    "trigger": "close > 6380 AND vol >= 1.2*sma(vol,20)",
    "type": "limit",
    "low": 6380,
    "high": 6450.5,
    "price": 6415.5,
    "from": null,
    "valid_until": null,
    "valid_bars": 3,
    "session": "main"
  },
  "stop": 6274.5,
  "stop_rule": "entry - 1*ATR: level - 0.5*ATR = 6309.5 is closer than 1 ATR",
  "atr14": 141,
  "tp": [
    {
      "price": 6697.5,
      "share": 0.5,
      "rr": 2
    },
    {
      "price": 6838.5,
      "share": 0.5,
      "rr": 3
    }
  ],
  "trail": {
    "move_stop_to_entry_after": "tp1"
  },
  "time_exit": {
    "bars": 10,
    "from": "entry",
    "approx": "2026-11-30"
  },
  "cancel": [
    "high >= 6697.5 before entry",
    "close < 5861 before entry"
  ],
  "size": {
    "model": "risk",
    "risk_pct": 0.66,
    "qty_step": 1,
    "ct_val": null,
    "max_notional_pct": 100,
    "group": "moex",
    "group_signals": 3,
    "group_max_pct": 2
  },
  "risk_pct": 0.66
}

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