Signal · 13 November 2026

MTSS · upside breakout

пробой 20-дневного уровня по тренду

buyMoscow Exchange · shares

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MTSS

Technical analysis

Nov 13 close: 184.05 ₽ (+0.9% on the day). That is 0.7% above the high of the previous 20 sessions, weekend sessions excluded (182.85 ₽). Turnover is 1.9 times the 20-day average: the move is backed by trading.

Over the month: +5.9%. The price is above the 20-day average (177.55 ₽) and above the 50-day average (177.55 ₽).

The price is 2.0 average daily ranges (ATR) above the 50-day average, RSI(14) 66.

The breakout is in the direction of the trend; such breakouts hold more often.

On the day: MOEX Russia Index +0.2%, USD -1.2%.

Fundamental analysis

Calendar event: Nov 20 — MTSS — Q3 2026 results (source: T-Investments) — within the trade window, a sharp move is possible.

What to watch next

Confirmation: two consecutive closes above 182.85 ₽. Invalidation: a close below 182.85 ₽. Nearest reference levels: 20-day average 177.55 ₽ and 20-day low 171.45 ₽.

Recommendation

Buy on the Moscow Exchange (MTSS). A 20-day breakout in the direction of the trend on turnover 1.9× average; horizon 10 sessions. Confidence: medium: turnover 1.9× (high needs 2×), price 0.4 ATR beyond the level (high needs 1).

Entry and exit

Entry: limit order in the 182.85–184.05 ₽ zone for the main session on 16.11, calculated from 183.45 ₽, valid until Nov 18. Stop: 180.25 ₽ (1.0 ATR from entry). Target 1: 189.85 ₽ (risk/reward 1:2): close half and move the stop to breakeven. Target 2: 193.05 ₽ (1:3). If target 1 is hit before entry, skip the trade. Time exit: 10 sessions after entry (around Nov 30).

Example with money

Capital 100.000 ₽, risk per signal 0.66% (660 ₽) — group limit for Moscow Exchange shares is 2% across 3 signals. Buy 180 shares (18 lots of 10) at 183.45 ₽: position 33.021 ₽. After rounding, the risk to the stop including fees is 641 ₽ (0.64%).

pricegrossafter feesafter tax
Target 1 (½)189.85+576+542+472
Targets 1 and 2193.05+1,440+1,373+1,194
Цель 1 + б/у183.45+576+509+443
Stop180.25-576-641-641

Algorithm

TF=1d; SYMBOL=MOEX:MTSS; MARKET=TQBR; SIDE=long
SIGNAL: close > highest(high,20)[1]=182.85
FILTER: close > sma(close,50)=177.55; vol=1.94*sma(vol,20) (min 1.2); (close-sma50)/ATR=2.03; RSI(14)=66.4 -> MODE=now
ENTRY: limit 182.85..184.05 (calc 183.45) from 2026-11-16 main session, valid until 2026-11-18 (3 bars)
STOP: 180.25 (entry - 1*ATR: level - 0.5*ATR = 181.25 is closer than 1 ATR; ATR(14)=3.2)
TP1: 189.85 (50%, R/R 1:2); TP2: 193.05 (50%, R/R 1:3)
MOVE_STOP_TO_ENTRY: after TP1
EXIT_TIME: 10 bars after entry (~2026-11-30)
CANCEL: high >= 189.85 before entry OR close < 182.85 before entry
SIZE: qty = 0.66% equity / (|entry - stop| + fees), floor to lot 10; notional <= 100% equity
RISK: 0.66% equity per signal (group moex shares: 3 signals, max 2% total)

Recommendation

Покупка: пробой 20-дневного уровня по тренду.

Technical analysis

Close
184.05
Level
182.85
ATR(14)
3.2
RSI(14)
66.4
Turnover vs average
1.94
Distance from SMA50, ATR
2.03
Signal
breakout_up
Mode
now

Entry and exit

Direction
buy
Market
TQBR
Entry
лимит в зоне 182,85–184,05 ₽ на основную сессию 16.11, расчёт от 183,45 ₽, заявка до 18.11
Entry zone
182.85 – 184.05
Stop
180.25
Target 1
189.85 (1 : 2)
Target 2
193.05 (1 : 3)
Time exit
2026-11-30
Confidence
medium
Status
open

Algorithm as JSON

{
  "tf": "1d",
  "symbol": "MOEX:MTSS",
  "market": "TQBR",
  "side": "long",
  "signal": "close > highest(high,20)[1]=182.85",
  "mode": "now",
  "filter": {
    "sma50": 177.55,
    "vol_ratio": 1.94,
    "min_vol": 1.2,
    "z50": 2.03,
    "rsi14": 66.4
  },
  "entry": {
    "trigger": "next bar",
    "type": "limit",
    "low": 182.85,
    "high": 184.05,
    "price": 183.45,
    "from": "2026-11-16",
    "valid_until": "2026-11-18",
    "valid_bars": 3,
    "session": "main"
  },
  "stop": 180.25,
  "stop_rule": "entry - 1*ATR: level - 0.5*ATR = 181.25 is closer than 1 ATR",
  "atr14": 3.2,
  "tp": [
    {
      "price": 189.85,
      "share": 0.5,
      "rr": 2
    },
    {
      "price": 193.05,
      "share": 0.5,
      "rr": 3
    }
  ],
  "trail": {
    "move_stop_to_entry_after": "tp1"
  },
  "time_exit": {
    "bars": 10,
    "from": "entry",
    "approx": "2026-11-30"
  },
  "cancel": [
    "high >= 189.85 before entry",
    "close < 182.85 before entry"
  ],
  "size": {
    "model": "risk",
    "risk_pct": 0.66,
    "qty_step": 10,
    "ct_val": null,
    "max_notional_pct": 100,
    "group": "moex",
    "group_signals": 3,
    "group_max_pct": 2
  },
  "risk_pct": 0.66
}

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