Signal · 13 November 2026

OKB · downside breakout

оборот 1,2× от среднего — меньше 1,2, пробой не подтверждён

waitOKX · crypto

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OKB-USDT-SWAP

Site-only signal: over the per-factor limit, not posted to the channel.

Technical analysis

Nov 13 close: $93.78 (-4.0% on the day). That is 0.3% below the low of the previous 20 days ($94.10). The breakout is still marginal: the price can easily slip back into the range. Turnover is near average (1.2×): volume does not confirm the move.

Over the month: -23.3%. The price is below the 20-day average ($105.31) and below the 50-day average ($114.40).

The price is 3.8 average daily ranges (ATR) below the 50-day average, RSI(14) 27.

The breakout is in the direction of the downtrend: selling pressure persists.

Bitcoin on the day: -4.4%. The coin moves with the market: much of the move is market-wide.

Fundamental analysis

No significant news or events on this instrument in our sources.

What to watch next

Confirmation: two consecutive closes below $94.10. Invalidation: a close above $94.10. Nearest reference levels: 20-day average $105.31 and 20-day high $115.59.

Recommendation

Wait: turnover is 1.2× average, below 1.2, so the breakout is unconfirmed. Plan if confirmed: sell via the OKX perpetual future OKB-USDT-SWAP at the levels below. Low confidence.

Entry and exit

Entry: only after two consecutive closes below $94.10, then a limit order in the $91.37–$94.10 zone (calculated from $92.74) for 3 days. Stop: $98.20 (1.0 ATR from entry). Target 1: $81.82 (risk/reward 1:2): close half and move the stop to breakeven. Target 2: $76.36 (1:3). If target 1 is hit before entry, skip the trade. Time exit: 10 days after entry (around Nov 24).

Example with money

Capital $1.000 (≈ 82.400 ₽), risk per signal 0.66% ($6.60). Sell 1.16 OKB (step 0.01, 116 contracts of 0.01 OKB) at $92.74 with an unleveraged perpetual future: position $107.58. After rounding, the risk to the stop including fees is $6.56 (0.66%).

pricegrossafter feesafter tax
Target 1 (½)81.82+6.33+6.23+5.42
Targets 1 and 276.36+15.83+15.63+13.60
Цель 1 + б/у92.74+6.33+6.12+5.33
Stop98.20-6.33-6.56-6.56

Algorithm

TF=1d; SYMBOL=OKX:OKB-USDT-SWAP; MARKET=swap; SIDE=short
SIGNAL: close < lowest(low,20)[1]=94.1
FILTER: close < sma(close,50)=114.4; vol=1.15*sma(vol,20) (min 1.2); (close-sma50)/ATR=-3.78; RSI(14)=27.2 -> MODE=confirm
ENTRY: after 2 closes < 94.1 -> limit 91.37..94.1 (calc 92.74), valid 3 bars
STOP: 98.2 (entry + 1*ATR: level + 0.5*ATR = 96.83 is closer than 1 ATR; ATR(14)=5.46)
TP1: 81.82 (50%, R/R 1:2); TP2: 76.36 (50%, R/R 1:3)
MOVE_STOP_TO_ENTRY: after TP1
EXIT_TIME: 10 bars after entry (~2026-11-24)
CANCEL: low <= 81.82 before entry OR close > 94.1 before entry
SIZE: qty = 0.66% equity / (|entry - stop| + fees), floor to qty step 0.01 (1 contract x ctVal 0.01); notional <= 100% equity
RISK: 0.66% equity per signal (group crypto: 0 signal, max 2% total)

Recommendation

Ждать: оборот 1,2× от среднего — меньше 1,2, пробой не подтверждён.

Technical analysis

Close
93.78
Level
94.1
ATR(14)
5.46
RSI(14)
27.2
Turnover vs average
1.15
Distance from SMA50, ATR
-3.78
Signal
breakout_down
Mode
confirm

Entry and exit

Direction
wait
Market
swap
Entry
только после 2 закрытий подряд ниже 94,10 $ — затем лимит в зоне 91,37–94,10 $ (расчёт от 92,74 $) на 3 дня
Entry zone
91.37 – 94.1
Stop
98.2
Target 1
81.82 (1 : 2)
Target 2
76.36 (1 : 3)
Time exit
2026-11-24
Confidence
low
Status
open

Algorithm as JSON

{
  "tf": "1d",
  "symbol": "OKX:OKB-USDT-SWAP",
  "market": "swap",
  "side": "short",
  "signal": "close < lowest(low,20)[1]=94.1",
  "mode": "confirm",
  "filter": {
    "sma50": 114.4,
    "vol_ratio": 1.15,
    "min_vol": 1.2,
    "z50": -3.78,
    "rsi14": 27.2
  },
  "entry": {
    "trigger": "2 closes < 94.1",
    "type": "limit",
    "low": 91.37,
    "high": 94.1,
    "price": 92.74,
    "from": null,
    "valid_until": null,
    "valid_bars": 3,
    "session": null
  },
  "stop": 98.2,
  "stop_rule": "entry + 1*ATR: level + 0.5*ATR = 96.83 is closer than 1 ATR",
  "atr14": 5.46,
  "tp": [
    {
      "price": 81.82,
      "share": 0.5,
      "rr": 2
    },
    {
      "price": 76.36,
      "share": 0.5,
      "rr": 3
    }
  ],
  "trail": {
    "move_stop_to_entry_after": "tp1"
  },
  "time_exit": {
    "bars": 10,
    "from": "entry",
    "approx": "2026-11-24"
  },
  "cancel": [
    "low <= 81.82 before entry",
    "close > 94.1 before entry"
  ],
  "size": {
    "model": "risk",
    "risk_pct": 0.66,
    "qty_step": 0.01,
    "ct_val": 0.01,
    "max_notional_pct": 100,
    "group": "crypto",
    "group_signals": 0,
    "group_max_pct": 2
  },
  "risk_pct": 0.66
}

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